economic (Enigma)
Monday, November 27, 2006
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The economic brief today, if you will be brief but nonetheless, very relevant, consider the information.
The director general (even) Petroleum Mexicanos (Pemex), Luis Ramirez Corzo, told the Senate that the parastatal will require resources of 350 billion pesos (about U.S. $ 30 billion, about 45% of current reserves of the Central Bank) over the next decade to ensure financial and operational viability, in fact, if we want to be an oil producing nation, it is better to make a strong investment in the business since the past 3 six years, almost did not.
energy reform "And when?
already know that the new secretary of energy, is on the desktop.
From France, Dr. Jose Angel Gurria, secretary General of the OECD estimated that the U.S. economy is experiencing a slowdown "benign", while Japan is shaping up to score his longest streak of growth of the postwar era ... only that Mexico depends a lot more than the American economy than the Nippon, as result of analysis of growth next year, not being located above 3.7% but is suffering a mid-year arrangement.
markets believe the U.S. economy will slow, but most investors are betting on a soft landing rather than a sudden cooling that hit global growth and financial assets, however, must await the results come in the first quarter of next year, seeing energy consumption and thus the oil price, remember that in winter, when more fuel is consumed.
In an analysis by the newspaper El Economista, is that bankers believe that Mexico is doomed to marginal growth.
To address social arrears, attract more investment and stop foreign dependency, the country needs to grow to more than 5% as is currently sentenced to inertial growth below its potential, said financial groups I consulted ... I agree, but tell me how do you do?, less than two structural reforms are needed, and perhaps the energy tax.
The brand-new economic cabinet (who like to read about it, I wrote yesterday and you can see by clicking here ) has the task, both to convince the country, and ensure stability.
Since last Thursday has been meeting President-elect Felipe Calderon members (less than PRD) Committee on Budget and Public Accounts of the House of Representatives, headed by the PAN Alejandro Padilla, president of the National Chamber of Commerce (Concanaco), and the results were kept in secrecy.
Although the PRI is likely with the PAN approve the budget for next year, comes with a filter that consent in the current account spending close to 11%, an issue which is to generate a supreme social spending, not even seen this past year and that, that there was federal election. You better
the shift that is being sought to characterize the distribution of money, to take effect and begin to ease the social environment, even if it is quiet, you might be pregnant without tension in their faces.
Eduardo Sojo, who last Tuesday was billed as the Minister of Economy of Calderon and talk to the BBC and made clear that seek alliances in the energy sector, but these are not privatization ... bet he will oppose?
And speaking of Sojo, said it will launch a plan mentioned by Calderon in his campaign on those who employ young people not to pay the first year of Social Security, the IMSS is almost bankrupt, not as will, but I hope this will trigger more employment for young people with those over 45 years, are swelling the ranks of the unemployed.
Here I stand, what do you think? The picture is complicated, right?
Mexico / International Politics / The Enigma
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